Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000600 0.000685 0.000776 0.000879 0.000992 0.001113 0.001252
2025-08-10 0.000475 0.000595 0.000730 0.000895 0.001088 0.001305 0.001568
2025-08-17 0.000401 0.000535 0.000694 0.000895 0.001140 0.001427 0.001785
2025-08-24 0.000332 0.000470 0.000641 0.000866 0.001151 0.001493 0.001933
2025-08-31 0.000279 0.000417 0.000596 0.000840 0.001157 0.001549 0.002066
2025-09-07 0.000245 0.000385 0.000573 0.000837 0.001190 0.001637 0.002236
2025-09-14 0.000218 0.000359 0.000555 0.000838 0.001225 0.001725 0.002409
2025-09-21 0.000192 0.000332 0.000532 0.000829 0.001245 0.001794 0.002556
2025-09-28 0.000168 0.000305 0.000507 0.000814 0.001255 0.001847 0.002683
2025-10-05 0.000158 0.000297 0.000509 0.000838 0.001318 0.001973 0.002909
2025-10-12 0.000147 0.000287 0.000506 0.000854 0.001371 0.002085 0.003119
2025-10-19 0.000131 0.000268 0.000488 0.000846 0.001387 0.002147 0.003260
2025-10-26 0.000115 0.000247 0.000466 0.000830 0.001392 0.002192 0.003381
2025-11-02 0.000106 0.000238 0.000461 0.000840 0.001434 0.002292 0.003580
2025-11-09 0.000097 0.000226 0.000451 0.000841 0.001463 0.002374 0.003755
2025-11-16 0.000084 0.000205 0.000424 0.000814 0.001446 0.002386 0.003830
2025-11-23 0.000072 0.000187 0.000400 0.000789 0.001431 0.002401 0.003908
2025-11-30 0.000066 0.000176 0.000390 0.000786 0.001452 0.002468 0.004063
2025-12-07 0.000060 0.000168 0.000382 0.000787 0.001477 0.002542 0.004231
2025-12-14 0.000053 0.000158 0.000369 0.000778 0.001487 0.002593 0.004364
2025-12-21 0.000047 0.000146 0.000354 0.000764 0.001487 0.002628 0.004472
2025-12-28 0.000045 0.000145 0.000359 0.000787 0.001548 0.002759 0.004730
2026-01-04 0.000043 0.000143 0.000360 0.000803 0.001598 0.002875 0.004965